Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.047855 0.055817 0.064679 0.075274 0.087596 0.101477 0.118307
2025-10-26 0.035861 0.046351 0.059253 0.076287 0.098194 0.125436 0.161923
2025-11-02 0.029287 0.040965 0.056474 0.078576 0.109280 0.150469 0.210015
2025-11-09 0.023400 0.034930 0.051243 0.075999 0.112645 0.164965 0.245505
2025-11-16 0.019774 0.031224 0.048331 0.075738 0.118594 0.183154 0.288065
2025-11-23 0.016906 0.028066 0.045572 0.075008 0.123339 0.199711 0.329950
2025-11-30 0.015078 0.026200 0.044432 0.076468 0.131452 0.222191 0.383856
2025-12-07 0.013184 0.023896 0.042189 0.075667 0.135532 0.238372 0.429169
2025-12-14 0.011418 0.021528 0.039468 0.073573 0.136943 0.249966 0.467747
2025-12-21 0.009935 0.019443 0.036932 0.071398 0.137792 0.260467 0.505424
2025-12-28 0.009141 0.018530 0.036399 0.072827 0.145438 0.284147 0.570603
2026-01-04 0.008337 0.017477 0.035446 0.073281 0.151193 0.304834 0.632472
2026-01-11 0.007580 0.016430 0.034403 0.073486 0.156618 0.325825 0.698375
2026-01-18 0.006999 0.015673 0.033849 0.074631 0.164147 0.352029 0.778715
2026-01-25 0.006581 0.015205 0.033832 0.076904 0.174351 0.385008 0.877900
2026-02-01 0.005824 0.013871 0.031770 0.074388 0.173686 0.394584 0.926621
2026-02-08 0.005327 0.013065 0.030771 0.074135 0.178072 0.415764 1.004440
2026-02-15 0.004855 0.012251 0.029643 0.073421 0.181269 0.434589 1.079151
2026-02-22 0.004568 0.011847 0.029424 0.074850 0.189762 0.466729 1.190070
2026-03-01 0.004179 0.011133 0.028367 0.074066 0.192696 0.485914 1.271428
2026-03-08 0.003764 0.010294 0.026888 0.072016 0.192156 0.496494 1.332291
2026-03-15 0.003390 0.009510 0.025453 0.069886 0.191126 0.505697 1.390772
2026-03-22 0.003216 0.009250 0.025346 0.071286 0.199660 0.540562 1.522470